General Book Outline
• Introduction:
◦ Contextualize with what politicians were faced with
‣ PPF of health and economics
‣ R0 and uncertainty
‣ Use the idea of a Black Swan Event as a hook; address the market decline as part of the hook
◦ Outline what you will address:
‣ 1) Early Stage Developments
• Macro-level analysis on the immediate effects of the virus from the perspective of people in March
• Politicians/ethics and PPF of health and economics
• The Effects of Quarantine and Isolation
◦ Give examples of what the rules were like
◦ GDP and Unemployment
• Weighing the virus as a supply shock vs a demand shock
‣ 2) Shrink this down to a general analysis on the effects on businesses
• Within this talk about what businesses could look forward to
• Discuss leasing and the difference between industries that could operate with the quarantine situation and those that cannot
• Here you can do a very interesting micro economic analysis of certain companies. Maybe a case study to two companies that basically represent what can or what cannot survive during this time.
• Within this section, you can discuss government action’s effect on business
◦ CARES act
◦ Federal loans to big business vs small business. Maybe find quotes and opinions of people who are affected by this
‣ Possible interviews with small business owners (Mori’s dad? Or maybe someone not related to the school)
‣ 3) Switch over to an analysis on financial markets specifically: DOW, S&P 500, Nasdaq
• Address the second boom: QE, fear of missing out, etc.
• Briefly address efficient markets theory
• Link up with institutional investors to get interviews or send out surveys
◦ Ms. Lynch would be a great resource to reach out to some alumni
• Address each significant rise and decline up until December
‣ 4) Possible After Effects/Looking towards the future
• Inflation, liquidity, and reserve requirements
• The value of the dollar as an international currency
• The growing Debt crisis
• A possible credit crisis; here you could also address how our financial structure makes us more vulnerable to epidemics or similar black swan events
◦ No rainy day fund/culture of money is better when invested than saved
• Deferring vs Forgiving debt;
• Effects on the market:
◦ Bubbles bursting
◦ The relationship between mainstreet and wallstreet
◦ Contextualize with what politicians were faced with
‣ PPF of health and economics
‣ R0 and uncertainty
‣ Use the idea of a Black Swan Event as a hook; address the market decline as part of the hook
◦ Outline what you will address:
‣ 1) Early Stage Developments
• Macro-level analysis on the immediate effects of the virus from the perspective of people in March
• Politicians/ethics and PPF of health and economics
• The Effects of Quarantine and Isolation
◦ Give examples of what the rules were like
◦ GDP and Unemployment
• Weighing the virus as a supply shock vs a demand shock
‣ 2) Shrink this down to a general analysis on the effects on businesses
• Within this talk about what businesses could look forward to
• Discuss leasing and the difference between industries that could operate with the quarantine situation and those that cannot
• Here you can do a very interesting micro economic analysis of certain companies. Maybe a case study to two companies that basically represent what can or what cannot survive during this time.
• Within this section, you can discuss government action’s effect on business
◦ CARES act
◦ Federal loans to big business vs small business. Maybe find quotes and opinions of people who are affected by this
‣ Possible interviews with small business owners (Mori’s dad? Or maybe someone not related to the school)
‣ 3) Switch over to an analysis on financial markets specifically: DOW, S&P 500, Nasdaq
• Address the second boom: QE, fear of missing out, etc.
• Briefly address efficient markets theory
• Link up with institutional investors to get interviews or send out surveys
◦ Ms. Lynch would be a great resource to reach out to some alumni
• Address each significant rise and decline up until December
‣ 4) Possible After Effects/Looking towards the future
• Inflation, liquidity, and reserve requirements
• The value of the dollar as an international currency
• The growing Debt crisis
• A possible credit crisis; here you could also address how our financial structure makes us more vulnerable to epidemics or similar black swan events
◦ No rainy day fund/culture of money is better when invested than saved
• Deferring vs Forgiving debt;
• Effects on the market:
◦ Bubbles bursting
◦ The relationship between mainstreet and wallstreet